TheSportStack
DATA-DRIVEN SPORTS BETTING ANALYTICS

Sharp models that show their work.

MLB, NFL and MMA — projections, best bets, player props and line-shopping in one place. Every staked play's record and ROI is public by default. No tout promises, no locks — a simulator, the lines, and the receipts.

LIVE BETTING RECORD· all sports · since Jul 2026
+4.3%
ROI
+2.4u
Net units
20-19-0
Record (W-L-P)
51.3%
Win rate
39
Settled bets
Real, staked plays — locked at the price shown and graded against the official result, win or lose. Past results don't guarantee future ones. Full record · Methodology

What's in the stack

Each sport is its own section — same philosophy, different game. Honest about where each one stands.

MLBLive · staked bets

Batter-vs-pitcher matchups and bbsim Monte-Carlo projections, with live staked bets.

  • Matchups & projections
  • K-props + line-shop totals
  • Weather & park factors
  • Live track record
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NFLBeta · lines & data

Live lines and open→close movement across books, plus key-number analytics.

  • Multi-book line board
  • Key-number edges
  • Matchup previews
  • Early team projections
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MMAResearch · no bets yet

UFC slate research — DFS pricing, fighter metrics, and fight archetypes.

  • DFS pricing & scoring
  • Fight DNA archetypes
  • Custom Elo ratings
  • Vegas lines
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League of LegendsResearch · no bets yet

Pro LoL team Elo ratings and pre-game win probabilities across the majors and internationals.

  • Custom team Glicko-2 Elo
  • Pre-game win probabilities
  • Model report card
  • LCK · LPL · LEC · LTA · Worlds
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NBAComing soon

Player props and matchup analytics.

  • Player props
  • Matchup analytics
Coming soon

How it works

01
Simulate

bbsim runs a 5,000-game Monte-Carlo of every matchup from pitcher, hitter, park, weather and umpire rates — producing run means, win probabilities and per-prop projections.

02
Price

Projections are compared to live lines across books. When the model's number beats the market by enough, the play fires and is staked at a disciplined fraction.

03
Show receipts

Every staked play is logged and graded against the closing line. Where the data comes from and how it's done is laid out in full — show the receipts, not the recipe.

Read the full methodology →